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The second half of the season begins tonight in LA, with the Hawks making their
annual circus trip out West. With 30 games left to play, there are only three
more of these previews left to do - it's amazing how fast this season has gone
by. This next stretch is a doozy - let's get right to it.
Looking
Back: Countdown To All-Star Weekend
Home games: Phoenix, New Jersey, LA Clippers, Washington
Road games: Miami, New York, Milwaukee, Minnesota,
Charlotte, Detroit
What happened: Perhaps the most puzzling stretch of the
season so far. On the one hand, there were some disappointing losses. The
Phoenix and Miami losses were immensely frustrating as the team seemed to lose
it's way offensively, and defensive lapses cost the team potential wins in
Milwaukee and New York and at home against the Clippers. On the other hand, the
Hawks got two nice road wins at Minnesota and Charlotte without Joe Johnson,
blitzed the Nets (finally) and the Wizards in easy home wins, and finished the
stretch with a huge victory over the Pistons in Detroit that earned the team the
tie-break advantage for the playoffs. If you judge the 10 on the whole it's easy
to feel like the team missed a couple opportunities, but the way they closed
after a tough start made it feel overall like a successful trip.
Injury report: The Hawks only played two games over
this stretch with their full roster intact (though at less than 100%).
Al Horford returned against the T-Wolves after missing 12 games with a
knee injury, just in time for Joe Johnson to miss two games with a viral
infection. Mike Bibby missed the Clippers game with a sprained foot as
well. Needless to say, injuries continue to be a nagging issue for the
team.
In Summary: For the second straight segment, I
predicted the team to go 7-3, and they ended up at 5-5.
It was a yo-yo of a stretch with the frustrating losses followed by some
really terrific wins. With the team finally getting healthy at the end,
hopefully the Detroit victory will springboard the team into the
post-All Star part of the season.
Looking Ahead: If We Survive This, We're
Golden
Home games: Miami, Cleveland
Road games: LA Lakers, Sacramento, Portland, Utah,
Denver, Washington, New York, Charlotte
Expectations going in: Toughest stretch of the
season without question. 8 of the 10 games on the road, including a
5-game swing out West against the Lakers (current 1 seed in the
conference), Blazers (4 seed), Nuggets (3 seed), and Jazz (8 seed
despite tons of injury issues). The only game that looks like a gimme is
the game at Sacramento against the bottom-feeding Kings. After
navigating that series of landmines, the Hawks come home to face Dwyane
Wade and LeBron James back-to-back at home, then head back on the road
for 3 more against the Wizards, Knicks, and Bobcats. Those games are
certainly winnable, but after 7 straight battles the Hawks will really
need to be at the top of their mental game for that final segment.
Predicted Record: Let's be honest here. The Hawks
could play great basketball and still lose many of these games just
because of the stiffness of the competition and where the games will be
played. I've been predicting 7-3 records for the Hawks over the past few
segments of this column, but I don't think I'll venture that far this
time around. Quite honestly, this slate of games will be all about
survival as far as I'm concerned. If the Hawks go 1-9, that would be
devastating. If they go 4-6, I won't be thrilled, but I'll feel like
they didn't give away the season. The key will be to win the games they
should - at Sacramento, at Washington, and home against Miami. If they
get those 3, and pick up at least one of the home game against the Cavs
and road game at the Bobcats, I'll feel...well, maybe not satisfied, but
I won't feel like the Hawks are collapsing. And of course, if Atlanta
somehow manages to go 6-4 or better, well, then I think we can really
start to contemplate the things this team can achieve come the
postseason.
I'm going to say 5-5 and hope for better.
What are your predictions?