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Has it been ten more games already? If you are new to this segment, NBA teams
like to look at the season in ten-game increments, so here on the blog we are
trying to do the same. The Hawks were pretty successful in the last ten - let's
take a look back at their performance and then take a gander at the future.
Looking Back: The Home Stand
Home games: Cleveland, Charlotte, Boston, Golden State,
Detroit, Oklahoma City, Chicago, Denver
Road games: Indiana, New Jersey
What happened: Ummm, the Hawks kinda killed it overall.
The loss to the Nets is fresh and leaves a bad taste, but the Hawks
were a missed FT against the Celtics from perhaps a perfect record at
home, and basically were two plays from winning all 10 games overall. In particular the win over the Cavaliers was the most
impressive, as Cleveland has run roughshod over most of the NBA and had won
11 straight going into the game. The wins over Detroit and Denver were
similarly notable. Strangely, the Hawks seemed to play better in the wins
over the better teams like the Pistons and Nuggets than they did against
lesser lights like the Thunder, Warriors, and Bobcats. Atlanta won in just
about every way possible, from an ugly 85-78 defensive slugfest against the
Thunder to a high-flying 129-117 win over the Bulls.
Injury report: Happily, no one suffered any significant
injuries over the last ten games, and every contributor on the squad appears
to be mostly 100%.
In Summary: I was optimistic in my 7-3 prediction, but
apparently not optimistic enough. The Hawks got a terrific win over
Cleveland and didn't look back from there, putting together the team's
second 6+ game winning streak of the season, the first time they've managed
to accomplish that since 1996-97, and finished the segment 8-2.
Looking Ahead: Going West, Part I
Home games: Houston, Orlando, Philly, Toronto,
Milwaukee
Road games: Orlando, Phoenix, LA Clippers, Golden State,
Chicago
Expectations going in: Hard to say, eh? The way this team is
playing, it's tempting to predict we'll win all of 'em. Realistically, that
won't happen. But within the next ten-game slate are two separate
challenges. The first is the home and home with Orlando on Jan. 7 and 9, which
could be hugely important given the fact the Magic are the only thing
standing between the Hawks and a Southeast Division title (and playoff #3
seed). The second is the team's first extended trip out West with
games at Phoenix, the Clippers, and Golden State. Phoenix isn't the
juggernaut it once was, but the Suns are still a playoff team and will be a
tough get on the road. The Clippers and Warriors are pretty terrible, and
are ripe for the road picking. The Hawks have already won at Orlando and
Chicago this season, so this segment of the schedule presents a very good chance to win more
road games than they lose. Houston and Orlando, because of their interior
strength, will be stern tests at home, but Atlanta will probably be favored
in all five home contests. Philly and Toronto are teams that have struggled
despite high expectations coming into the season, but both have the talent
to get wins if the Hawks don't come to play.
Predicted Record: Houston is always tough on Atlanta,
but I think the Hawks gain a little revenge for blowing a win on the road
last month. I figure a split with Orlando, a win over the Sixers and after a
close loss at Phoenix I think Atlanta gets wins against both LA and Golden
State. The Hawks should be able to handle the Raptors and Bucks, both of
whom they beat at Philips earlier this season, but perhaps the third time
will be the charm for the Bulls in Chicago.
Let's call it 7-3 again, which would put the Hawks at 28-14 at just
past the halfway mark of the season. I'll take that every day of the week and
twice on Sunday.
What do you see in the Hawks' forecast?